Top Economics News

The second Japanese bank, Mizuho Financial, reported Tuesday a fall of 80% of its net quarterly profit, mainly due to a decline in the value of his stock portfolio. </ p> Net income for the quarter October to December fell to 16.3 billion yen (162 million euros), against 80.3 billion yen in October and ; December 2010, according to Reuters calculations based on the results of nine months. </ p> Nikkei index falling by over 13% between April and ; December, banks have had to spend significant provisions on the value of its shares in listed companies. </ p> The results are also affected by a charge related to a change in tax law.</ P> For the year, Mizuho maintains its net profit forecast to 460 billion yen, up 11% over the period 2010-2011 while the market expects 427 billion yen, according to the consensus Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S. </ p> The first Japanese bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, is to publish its results on Wednesday. </ p > <p> third Japanese bank Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) said Monday net income stagnant under its third quarter. </ p> Action Mizuho has gained 17% since its low point of eight years moved in November, while the Nikkei index gained 8% at the same time. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) is up 10% and 20% of SMFG. </ P>

Objective: six to eight billion euros in additional savings.The French government Monday unveiled new measures to contain its deficit and preserve its sovereign rating as part of a budget among "the most severe since 1945."

Prime Minister Francois Fillon, who will present the plan in mid-day after the cabinet meeting, prepared the minds saying Saturday that there was no alternative to the reduction of public spending.

The executive, who proceeded to the final Sunday arbitration, fails to speak always of "rigor" or "austerity" but "the moment of truth" announced by the prime minister sounds like this six months of the presidential election.

Thirty-six, 38, 42 and maybe tomorrow as 50 per month when Airbus increases production rates of its single-aisle aircraft, it's party time for subcontractors in the aerospace industry.Unless the funds to finance the necessary investment will come running out.

These suppliers, some of which also work for Boeing in the interest of diversification, are technically ready to follow the ups cadence, but sometimes have difficulty obtaining financing from their bankers, actors and observers believe the industry.

Driven by the boom in Asian demand swells order books, manufacturers accelerate the pace, especially in the aisle – the segment of medium-haul flights of 150 seats – the most lucrative and most promising of the civil aviation with a value estimated at some 2,000 billion over the next 20 years.The 'supply chain' will fit, maybe it will grind a bit in the ramp-up, but we adapt, "he told Reuters Jean-Claude Maillard, CEO and founder of Figeac Aero, under contractor to Airbus, which finds that up to 48 or 50 units per month is "quite possible".

He echoed the statements of President of the Group of aerospace equipment and defense (GEAD), Olivier Zarrouati – also CEO of Zodiac Aerospace – who recently told Reuters that a growing number of production plants for OEMs keep up the pace aircraft manufacturer was not required.

"You can go to heaven, there is no limit", says David Bonnus, aerospace expert with the firm Step Consulting.

Private creditors of Greece may have to accept a loss of up to 60% on their sovereign debt to the Greek debt can become sustainable over the long term, according to a report that will serve as the basis for decisions of the leaders of the euro area meet Sunday and Wednesday in Brussels.

The EU finance ministers STRIPS for their Saturday on different scenarios and try to resolve their differences in voluntary or not of such private sector participation to a new bailout for Greece.

Friday night, they brought a breath of fresh air in Athens, giving the green light to the payment by mid-November of the next tranche of international assistance by 8 billion euros, without which Greece would default on its securities sovereigns in the coming weeks.

The International Monetary Fund still has to also accept the payment, he conditioned ambitious decisions of Heads of State and Government of the euro area to reduce the mountain of Greek debt.

According to the scenarios included in the report of the troika – IMF, ECB and European Commission – representing international donors in Greece, a 50% discount on Greek bonds held by private investors is necessary to reduce debt to 120% of GDP , against 162% today.

If it was intended to bring it below 110%, a discount of 60% would be necessary, the report, which warns that the Greek debt could have a peak at 186% of GDP.

A footnote on page mentions, however, opposition from the European Central Bank to the publication of such scenarios because it believes that investors will refuse to subscribe voluntarily to these losses, resulting in an inadequate Greek.

Fearing to trigger a credit event with unforeseeable consequences, France and several other countries are also reluctant to go beyond the envelope of 50 billion euros negotiated last July 21 with the banks, as demanded German authorities if necessary by forcing them to go the extra mile.

FUND SUPPORT FOR THE EURO AREA

Reflecting a view increasingly shared by European leaders, the Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg has called for Saturday to a "substantial discount" on the Greek titles.

"I do not think we should use taxpayers' money.The safeguards system can not only restore confidence, "he said on his arrival at the meeting of EU finance ministers.

In addition to the Greek plan, they try to move forward on Saturday a comprehensive plan to recapitalize banks on the continent, aimed not only to prepare them for losses in Greece but also to restore investor confidence.

Several European and banking sources told Reuters earlier this week that the plan could be around 100 billion euros.

They must also continue work to define a formula acceptable to all the Fund to leverage support for the euro area (EFSF), on which Paris and Berlin are divided.

Friday night, after a meeting of the Eurogroup, which barely touched the issue, the economy minister, Baroin said that France continued to believe that the conversion of cash in bank was the best solution but did not make "one final point of confrontation."

"What counts is what works.And what works is what will go towards deterrence and effective firewall and it is around that we're trying to work, "the minister said to the press.

SARKOZY, MERKEL MEETING

Granted a banking license in EFSF would allow access to funding from the European Central Bank to increase its capacity for action by a factor of up to five.

But Berlin rejects this possibility, which would be to accept that the institution of Frankfurt finance the countries of the euro area, one of the dogmas explicitly excluded by the European treaties.

The other members of the euro area are also divided, Belgium and Spain having voted for a reconciliation BCE-EFSF while Slovakia and Austria have indicated that this solution was not studied.

A European source said Friday that among the solutions on which floor the ministers, not imply the

ECB.

This issue could be decided on Saturday evening at a bilateral meeting in Brussels between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, who will be joined by the presidents of the Commission and the European Council, José Manuel Barroso and Herman Van Rompuy.

European leaders are under intense pressure by their international partners to take decisive action against the crisis, less than two weeks of the G20 summit in Cannes, where they planned to hold them accountable.

The German Government has almost halved its growth forecast for next year, reduced to 1% against 1.8% auparavan.

After several economic research institutes, the German government has significantly revised down its growth forecast for next year, noting the slowdown in the economy under the weight of the financial crisis in Europe. Berlin now expects growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 1% in 2012, nearly half its previous estimate of 1.8%, said Wednesday sources close to the government. This forecast should be formalized Thursday by the Ministry of Economy.

The reduction comes as no surprise. Signs of a slowdown in the dynamics have increased recently. The latest business survey, the ZEW, which measures the expectations of analysts and institutional investors, reached Tuesday its lowest level since December 2008.The Ministry of Economy considered himself last week that the risks had "significantly increased" for the first European economy, strong exports. Germany suffers from weaker growth in its European partners, which absorb 60% of its exports.

The main economic research institutes predicted the country in their autumn report, which is the basis for forecasts of Berlin, a decline in GDP in the fourth quarter 2011, followed by stabilization at a low level. The export will not contribute to growth next year, they warned.

Strong last year after the terrible recession of 2009, German growth has largely continued this year and should reach 2.9%, putting Germany in the forefront of Europe.

German manufacturers of cars, machine tools and chemicals filled their order books since last year, and "the companies still much to do to fulfill their orders," Analysis Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING, "this time, they are much better prepared to face a crisis of Lehman type ". The recession following the collapse of U.S. investment bank in 2008 had occurred in a phase of over-capacity of German industry, breaking net momentum.

In the area of ​​machine tools, high of about one million employees and a major exporter, the production growth should slow markedly course next year, warned Tuesday the federation VDMA, but at 4%, remain fully is honorable.

The sequence of events for the German economy, that is "an anchor of stability and growth in Europe" in the words of its Minister of Economy, will very much depend on the outcome of the debt crisis.

EU leaders promise solutions in the coming weeks, and the business press them to do so. But if the remedies proposed were not sufficient to stem the crisis, "the German economy would be penalized more than expected, and would fall into recession," predicted institutes last week. The export collapse, consumer confidence, yet relatively untouched because of a strong labor market, would be reached, and the banking crisis handicap investment, according to worst-case scenario.

Banks must be better capitalized to avoid an escalation of the crisis that would be caused by a financial collapse, said Sunday the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble on the ZDF television, adding that banks no longer trust the to each other.

"We need better regulation and better capitalization of banks," he said.

"Everyone will not like this, but it is the best way there is no escalation of the crisis caused by a collapse of the banking system."

"The cause of this crisis is too much debt, but we must fight the danger of contagion. We must simply recognize that banks currently have more trust towards each other, so the market Banking is not working as it should.The best way to combat this is a better recapitalization. "

Total discovered gas and oil off the coast of Norway, announced Thursday the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate.

According to preliminary estimates, this discovery is to be between 19 million and 101 million barrels.

The discovery was made in the Norwegian Sea, about 8 miles west of the oil and gas Norn.

"The development of this discovery will be considered in conjunction with other deposits in the region," said the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate said in a statement.

To dig the well that led to this discovery, Total was allied with Norway's Statoil, authorities said.

Dexia shares on the stock market plunged Monday after the decision of the rating agency Moody's placed the debt rating of the Franco-Belgian bank on negative watch.

Moody's justified its decision by concerns about the liquidity of the group while the refinance market conditions remain very tight.

A Dexia spokesman declined to comment on the decision of the agency.

On Tuesday, Fitch Ratings had already announced that it lowered its rating.

At 11:15, Dexia signed the worst performance of the European sector index banks – down by 4.11% – a decrease of 8.43%.

The announcement Sunday that Greece would not take the objectives of fiscal consolidation has aroused the distrust of investors and markets.

The decision by Moody's is also involved as speculation about the future of Dexia in full swing.

The institution admitted consider options to strengthen its balance sheet but has ruled out any split in the group.

Finance ministers Belgian and French are to meet Monday night and Tuesday as part of the European meetings of the Eurogroup and tell the Ecofin.

If some press reports indicate that Baroin and Didier Reynders must address the issue, a spokesman said it no special meeting was scheduled between the two men.

Scenarios ranging from the sale of assets to a breakdown of the group were mentioned in the press in recent days.

Dexia, which was saved from bankruptcy in fall 2008 after the collapse of U.S. bank Lehman Brothers, in the second quarter 2011 loss of four billion euros, the heaviest in its history.

The New York Stock Exchange ended down 1.61% Wednesday, the Dow Jones industrial yielding 30 179.79 points to 11,010.90.

The S & P-500, wider, lost 24.32 points, or 2.07%, to 1151.06. The Nasdaq Composite fell on its side of 55.25 points (-2.17%) to 2491.58.

The Health Minister urged to sign the mutual agreement on the reimbursement of excess fees by the end of the week, in which case the government "take responsibility". The Minister of Labour and Health Xavier Bertrand

The Health Minister Xavier Bertrand on Tuesday reaffirmed that if by the end of the week did not sign the mutual agreement on the reimbursement of excess fees in certain specialties, parliamentary and government "take responsibility". "I prefer appeasement rather than confrontation," assured the minister of LCI considering that "it is the interest of patients that we take care in an organized and excess fees in certain medical specialties ".

According to Xavier Bertrand, mutual initially had agreed to the project and "bang, because there was the tax on contracts managers, they tell us no.""We need that before the end of the week, there is a meeting to see if it's yes or no, and if yes, when," he said. Without mutual agreement, "the government and parliament take their responsibilities." "We need a clear agreement," he said.

The medical convention signed in July between GPs and health insurance provides for an optional area in which said tariff would fall practitioners who agree to limit their fees, conditional relief from their charges.Les additional reimbursement to patients overruns capped nationally.

They have until September 30 to sign the agreement but they want to continue the discussions, including consideration of regional disparities in rates charged by practitioners.Mutuals are also unhappy with the increase in the tax on their contracts, health caring and responsible decision in the austerity plan.