Top Economics News

Arnaud Lagardère, General Partner of Lagardère, has made further sales of shares of media group for a little over 1.7 million, after have recently sold for eight million shares.

According to advice published by the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), new assignments were made on 19 and 20 March for a total of 74,247 titles.

Arnaud Lagardère had already sold 346,653 shares between March 16 and 12, or 0.26% of the capital.

The group had indicated that these transactions were within the framework of the "unwinding of a financing package set up by BNP Paribas in 2004 to mark the settlement of the estate of his father and under the relevant contract. "

Increasing the number of unemployed is expected to slow in February, according to the head of state. He sees a sign of economic recovery. For the month of February, Nicolas Sarkozy expected to increase "quite moderate" unemployment.

The president candidate unveils unemployment figures in February. Nicolas Sarkozy says the monthly unemployment statistics, which will be published on Monday evening show "a fairly moderate increase" the number of job seekers for February.

"The numbers tonight will demonstrate an improvement in the situation with a declining trend in increasing the number of unemployed. This increase is quite moderate," Sarkozy said on France Info. He said it "reflects a significant economic recovery since we tried to solve the financial crisis in Greece, this financial crisis that created a crisis of confidence, which itself creates an economic crisis".

In January, the number of unemployed rose by 0.5% compared to December, a rate cut in half compared to previous months, the total number of unemployed at 2.8 million people.

Wall Street ended down about 0.5% Wednesday, interrupting a series of four consecutive sessions of gains, after investors have concluded about the Reserve Chairman fe ; Re public that there will be no immediate further monetary easing.

The Dow Jones Industrial 30 yielded 0.41%, or 53.05 points, to 12,952.07. The S & P-500, wider, lost 6.50 points, or 0.47%, to 1365.68. The Nasdaq Composite fell 19.87 points to his side (-0.67%) to 2,966.89.

At his hearing before the Committee on Financial Services of the House of Representatives, Ben Bernanke noted that there had been improvements in the labor market, although it also said he had to accelerate growth in the United States that will reduce an unemployment rate considered unacceptable.

Recognition of a better employment has, ultimately, been interpreted as not going in the direction of an imminent new bond buyback program, possibility Ben Bernanke himself had not ruled out during the press conference which followed the last monetary policy meeting of the Fed's late January. 

"Market participants felt that Ben Bernanke was slightly less accommodating than before – and I stress the word 'slightly'," said Michael Marrale, managing director at RBC Capital Markets.

The statements of Fed chairman supported the dollar and weighed on commodity-related values, with a sector index down by 1.74%.

The decline of Wall Street has been limited by the publication of an index of purchasing managers in the Chicago area much better than expected in February, its highest since April 2011 . 

The publication of the Fed's Beige Book, which says that the U.S. economy grew at a moderate pace in January and mid February, was also ; a factor of support.

The decline Wednesday is also linked to profit taking after the series of increases in recent days. And, throughout the month, the Dow Jones gained 2.5%, the S & P 500 4.1% and Nasdaq 5.4%.

Analysts also note that the volumes were less expanded in comparison to the average of February.

PSA Peugeot Citroën is the star of the Paris stock exchange today. Its title flies by nearly 10%, boosted by the announcement of cooperation projects and a possible alliance with General Motors. A PSA Peugeot Citroën plant in Coventry, UK.

The title of French carmaker PSA Peugeot Citroen flew Wednesday morning at the Paris Bourse, boosted by the prospect of an alliance with General Motors. At 10:10 (9:10 GMT), the value gained 9.80% to 15.80 euros and largely occupied first place in the CAC 40, which lost 0.29%. Analysts at Natixis bank have in turn raised to "buy", against "neutral" before their recommendation on the title, with a price target to 20 euros.

The French manufacturer, sentencing, said review "projects of cooperation and alliances" about which "discussions are ongoing". The site reported Tuesday LaTribune.fr advanced negotiations for a marriage with General Motors. Labour Minister Xavier Bertrand confirmed Wednesday that French was in talks with the U.S.. Florent Couvreur, analyst at CM-CIC Securities, said that PSA is among the largest European manufacturers "most isolated" and that furthermore it is difficult to generate sufficient margins in its core automotive operations. The analyst also puts forward the fact that the company Opel, GM's European subsidiary, "is in the same situation."

Analysts at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, "the first result of such discussions is the need for both companies to improve their position in Europe where all groups except two (Renault and Volkswagen) have recorded losses in the second half 2011 ". Thus, an alliance with PSA GM "could allow these two groups of strong synergies and economies of scale", such investments and R & D (research and development), for Mr. Slater. This merger would allow PSA to benefit from the GM position in Asia and the U.S. while the U.S. would have the opportunity through the French to build on small models, explains the analyst.

"GM-PSA could be the new Fiat-Chrysler", states Mr. Couvreur, while warning against a number of uncertainties. These include the future participation of the Peugeot family, the reaction of other PSA partners (Ford on diesel engines and Toyota in the "mini cars") and whether the alliance has held a probable reduction in overcapacity Europe. Analysts at the U.S. bank, however, wonder if this alliance fear materialize and warn that PSA longer needs this merger as GM, "given its dependence on Europe and its inability to cut costs fast enough ".

Several Directors of Veolia Environnement, whose CEO of EDF Proglio, are preparing to head the group's CEO, Mr. Frérot, reports financial daily Les Echos in its edition Monday.

The former Minister of Ecology Jean-Louis Borloo is among prospective successors, the newspaper said, predicting that a Board of Directors of Veolia Environnement scheduled on February 29 will be crucial.

Contacted by Reuters, a spokeswoman for Veolia declined to comment.

Moody's downgraded the outlook of the Aaa rating of France to negative from stable, reflecting the agency said uncertainty surrounding the economy of the euro area and the ambitions of Paris in terms of re production deficits.

The U.S. rating agency also adjusted notes and perspectives of eight other EU countries including the United Kingdom and Italy.

The call to order by Moody's comes a month to the day after the decision by Standard & Poor's reduced the rating by one notch from France, from AAA to AA +, in D action to the deepening debt crisis. 

Moody's maintained its Aaa rating of France, the best possible, but warned that it could be a reduction if the government failed to implement its economic reforms and budget.

The euro and British pound fell against the dollar after advertising.

In a statement released Monday night, the agency notes that the uncertainties related to institutional reforms envisaged in the euro area, coupled with anemic growth prospects in the region, continue to affect the confidence of financial markets.

Moody's also believes that the figures of the French debt continue to deteriorate and that France is among the countries rated Aaa "weaker" in this field. 

The agency also highlighted "significant risks" which the French government will face in achieving its objectives of reducing public deficits.

BAROIN NOTES

"These could be further complicated by the need to help other European countries or its own banking system," reads the document.

The economy minister said Tuesday Baroin "take note" of the decision by Moody's.

"The government is determined to continue its action for growth, competitiveness, including the reform of financing of social protection, employment and reducing die ; ficits public, "the ministry said in a statement. Bercy added that government policy "is part of a framework and methodology of long-term".

The Elysée and Matignon did not react immediately.

The Socialist candidate for president, Francois Hollande, did not want to throw fuel on the fire and has insisted that France was not in the same situation that Greece, in the throes of a violent protest after degradation and austerity plans repeatedly.

"We are not in this situation and those who make this comparison do to scare the French," he said on RMC and BFM-TV. 

Arnaud Montebourg, "third man" of the Socialist primary, responded by criticizing the role of rating agencies: "The rating agencies, everyone understands that they play a toxic role and Moreover perverse ", he said on France Inter. "For me and for many (…) they are charlatans."

For Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, zero can not ignore the verdict.

"It also shows very clearly that no candidate will escape the rules of good management in the months and years ahead and it shows very clearly that with the program (…) economic and social Francois Hollande, the account is not (…) and that there would necessarily be a further degradation, "he said on France Inter.

The government has this week at the National Assembly a bill supplementary budget with the key measure, an increase in VAT to finance social protection, is highly contested by the opposition and trade unions. 

ON BOTTOM OF GREEK CRISIS

Beyond French borders, the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area is growing.

The Greek government was asked Monday by its European partners to submit further proof of its commitment to reform despite the adoption, on the eve of an austerity plan rity by a parliament besieged by thousands of protesters.

These provisions are required by the "troika" (International Monetary Fund, European Union and European Central Bank) in exchange for an aid package of € 130 billion found essential before March 20, when an important deadline for the country's debt (14.5 billion euros to repay). 

Moody's had warned Jan. 16 that it was considering the prospect of the note of France and it would update the country scores of the European Union in the first quarter.

Standard & Poor's and Moody's had worried about the drift of French public finances while warning against the risk that the government's economic reforms are undermining growth, pillar which is based precisely on Paris to try to achieve its objectives of consolidation.

In fact, the government postponed last week of 2013 to 2014 the decline in its ratio of debt to gross domestic product due to the participation of France in the European Stability Mechanism (MES ), which must support States in the euro zone in trouble, and growth forecasts reduced from 1 to 0.5% this year. 

Commitments to reduce the public deficit is confirmed, however, to 4.5% of GDP in late 2012 and 3% in 2013.

But the Court of Auditors, which certifies the accounts of the State, estimated that only 10% of the total effort that must be capable of reducing to zero the structural deficit in France – in 2016 from Bercy – had been achieved last year.

Repair cracks appeared on the wings of the Airbus A380 jumbo could cost up to 100 million euros in the aircraft manufacturer, writes Der Spiegel Sunday.

The identification and repair of cracks on the 69 aircraft already in service would cost in themselves within 70 million, thirty million then being attributable to a change production procedures, continues the weekly said, citing experts and people of Airbus.

Der Spiegel also quoted a spokesman for Airbus, an EADS subsidiary, which states that a long-term technical solution will be found by the summer, without comment on the cost. 

European authorities are preparing to extend the inspection process to all Airbus A380 fleet after the discovery of cracks on the wings of some copies of trè s jumbo jet, said on Wednesday sources close to the matter.

Moreover, in an interview published Monday in WirtschaftsWoche, Louis Welsh, CEO of EADS, said he wanted make 350 million euros in savings this year by unifying procedures for various business functions.

He added that in view of recent successes in the U.S., EADS should seriously consider building a plant there.

Welsh also said that the A320neo should be profitable in its first delivery in October 2015. "Development costs are limited and therefore we will have depreciated even before the start of production" No he said.

German exports in December accused their most marked decline in almost three years, the first sign that the euro area economy has suffered heavily in the last quarter of re percussion of the debt crisis.

But the figures of the Federal Bureau of Statistics also show that exports have reached record levels in all of 2011, and, according to the latest predictors, the German economy is back on track after a brief contraction.

"Earlier this year, the outlook for the German economy is better, while the global economy gathers momentum and the uncertainty surrounding the debt crisis eases ", Ulrike Rondorf analysis, economist at Commerzbank. 

The euro stood Wednesday peaks several weeks against the dollar and the yen, investors hoping to make Greece the austerity measures demanded in return for a second bailout.

On a seasonally adjusted, German exports fell 4.3% in December, their most marked decline since January 2009. Economists polled by Reuters on average expected a decline of only 1.0%.

The trade surplus has settled to 13.9 billion euros after 14.9 billion (revised figure) in the previous month and 14.0 billion expected.

THINNING FOR

The German economy, export-oriented, quickly recovered from the 2008-2009 financial crisis but the budgetary problems of the euro area and the global economic downturn have clouded his growth prospects.

The first official estimate reported a contraction of 0.25% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter and German economic indicators in December were more still bad as feared. 

Industrial production in December suffered its biggest decline since early 2009, heavily disappointing expectations.

Economists were betting on domestic demand to support the economy and anticipated imports up 0.6% in December, but they fell 3.9%.

The trade surplus of Germany, however, reached 158.1 billion euros in 2011, after 154.9 billion in 2010.

This contrasts sharply with the trade deficit of France, which last year reached a record 69.6 billion euros.

The economic forecast surveys also suggest that the slump in the German economy will be short lived. 

The business climate has improved in January for the third consecutive month, while consumer confidence in the horizon of February rose against all odds at its highest level in ten months.

Over the full year 2011, German exports exceed 1,000 billion euros. And the trend is rising: industrial goods orders rose 1.7% in December, despite the erosion of demand from the euro area on the bottom of the debt crisis.

"With the 2008 financial crisis, the importance of different export markets of Germany has changed somewhat, declining slightly in Europe and the rest of gaining importance worldwide, "said Anton Börner, director of industrial consolidation BGA.

European shares lost ground Tuesday in mid-session, while Wall Street expected a slight decline in market weighed down by disappointing results considered and the fear absence of agreement on a new bailout of Greece.

The CAC 40 was down 0.49% to 3,388.68 points at mid-session, while the Frankfurt Stock Exchange yields 0.74%, 0.42% London and the Eurostoxx 50 declined of 0.54%.

Torn between the impatience of Europe and the exasperation of its people, Greek political leaders meet Tuesday in full general strike, to give their response to measures drastic demanded by donors of Athens.

Investors are also made them more cautious approach to the meetings of European and British central banks Thursday. 

"Investors have begun to lift a little from the base until the rate decisions of the Bank of England and European Central Bank (…) while Greece remains a focus of the market, "said Joshua Raymond at City Index strategies.

Side values, ArcelorMittal shows the strongest increase in the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50's, with a gain of 2.3%. The steelmaker has published the results meet expectations and be announced ahead of its goal of reducing its debt. Its subsidiary of stainless steel Aperam takes 8%.

UBS was down 0.9%. The Swiss group announced a net profit of 393 million Swiss francs for the fourth quarter of 2011, with a loss before taxes of CHF 256 million in investment banking and prudent for a speech Q1 euro zone.

The Swiss Swatch lost 4.2%, a victim of profit taking after the announcement of results in line with expectations for 2011 and a double-digit growth in demand for watches and jewelery in January .

Alfa Laval lost 8.9%, following orders and operating profit below expectations, mainly because of lower demand from shipyards.

In Paris, LVMH loses more than 3.4%, largest drop in the ACC. The title continues to be a victim of profit taking, just like Swatch, after his strong performance in 2011.

Lagardere lost 5.1% after posting a turnover of slightly worse than expected and have announced writedowns of about 900 million euros.

The three party leaders of the coalition government in Greece have agreed on a reduction in public spending of 1.5% of GDP in 2012 and will give an answer to the proposal of credit ; the country's international nancial Monday at noon (1000 GMT).

"Political leaders should give an answer in principle tomorrow afternoon (European Union)," he told reporters Panos Beglitis, spokesman for the Greek Socialist Party (PASOK ) on Sunday.

They will then discuss the plan of the troika (International Monetary Fund, European Commission and European Central Bank) at a meeting chaired by Prime Minister Lucas Papademos.

"There will be a meeting of political leaders chaired by Papademos tomorrow afternoon," said Beglitis. 

The chief minister said for his part that the various managers of the government coalition have agreed on a reduction in public spending by an amount equivalent to 1.5% of GDP this year.

This includes measures to reduce salaries and benefits costs to make the Greek economy more competitive, he added.

He also confirmed the meeting of heads of coalition parties on Monday to conclude negotiations on the second aid package of 130 billion euros to be implemented by the mid-March to avoid a collapse of public accounts.

BAROIN OPTIMISTIC

Creditors of Greece had requested a reduction in spending worth one percent of GDP, slightly more than two billion euros for 2012. 

The negotiations on the restructuring of the Greek debt held by the private sector rose "relatively well", said his side the French Minister of Economy and Finance, Sunday .

"I think it progresses smoothly on the part of private sector involvement to be made on a voluntary basis," said Baroin under the "Grand Rendez-Vous "Europe 1-Le Parisien-i> Télé.

"We would not get away from the level at which one must move the Greek debt in 2020, that is to say around 120%," said the French minister. And "it is because we do not withdraw these objectives that the discussions are difficult," he said.

"Anyway, it's later than February 13," continued Baroin.

February 13 is the deadline posed by the euro area to launch the operation, which should bring the Greek debt around 120% of GDP in 2020 against over 160% today.

The private sector should accept a discount of around 70% of its obligations under the exchange program of the Greek debt. This will help to lower than 100 billion euros of debt of Greece.

In exchange for a loan of at least 130 billion euros by 2015, the troika of institutional creditors requires further structural reform and further reforms of austerity authority to clean up its public accounts.

Troika calls including a lowering of wages in companies and supplementary pension, which measures face many political and union resistance.

In the absence of an agreement, Greece is threatened with failure to pay on 20 March, when mature 14.5 billion euros of bonds.