German exports in December accused their most marked decline in almost three years, the first sign that the euro area economy has suffered heavily in the last quarter of re percussion of the debt crisis.
But the figures of the Federal Bureau of Statistics also show that exports have reached record levels in all of 2011, and, according to the latest predictors, the German economy is back on track after a brief contraction.
"Earlier this year, the outlook for the German economy is better, while the global economy gathers momentum and the uncertainty surrounding the debt crisis eases ", Ulrike Rondorf analysis, economist at Commerzbank.
The euro stood Wednesday peaks several weeks against the dollar and the yen, investors hoping to make Greece the austerity measures demanded in return for a second bailout.
On a seasonally adjusted, German exports fell 4.3% in December, their most marked decline since January 2009. Economists polled by Reuters on average expected a decline of only 1.0%.
The trade surplus has settled to 13.9 billion euros after 14.9 billion (revised figure) in the previous month and 14.0 billion expected.
THINNING FOR
The German economy, export-oriented, quickly recovered from the 2008-2009 financial crisis but the budgetary problems of the euro area and the global economic downturn have clouded his growth prospects.
The first official estimate reported a contraction of 0.25% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter and German economic indicators in December were more still bad as feared.
Industrial production in December suffered its biggest decline since early 2009, heavily disappointing expectations.
Economists were betting on domestic demand to support the economy and anticipated imports up 0.6% in December, but they fell 3.9%.
The trade surplus of Germany, however, reached 158.1 billion euros in 2011, after 154.9 billion in 2010.
This contrasts sharply with the trade deficit of France, which last year reached a record 69.6 billion euros.
The economic forecast surveys also suggest that the slump in the German economy will be short lived.
The business climate has improved in January for the third consecutive month, while consumer confidence in the horizon of February rose against all odds at its highest level in ten months.
Over the full year 2011, German exports exceed 1,000 billion euros. And the trend is rising: industrial goods orders rose 1.7% in December, despite the erosion of demand from the euro area on the bottom of the debt crisis.
"With the 2008 financial crisis, the importance of different export markets of Germany has changed somewhat, declining slightly in Europe and the rest of gaining importance worldwide, "said Anton Börner, director of industrial consolidation BGA.